Trump Foreign Policy Impact in the Caucasus: Projecting Azerbaijan-USA relations for the next four years and beyond

January 20, 2017

cesdPublisher: Center for Economic and Social Development, Azerbaijan

On 20th January, Donald John Trump, an American businessman and TV entertainer is going to be 45th President of the United States of America. This is a hard-to-be comprehended statement by the academic and research communities, who did not expect the result of the US presidential elections to turn out this way.

The possibility of Trump’s victory was repeatedly denied by the major research centres, and each scandal encouraged researchers to re-state their predictions on the soon-to-be collapse of the Trump election campaign. Needless to say, these predictions were proven false by the final election results.

Nevertheless, in the end, the academic and policy research communities have not produced research on what Trump’s presidency would look like. The same stands true for the foreign governments of the EU, Russia, China, and the rest of the world. In order to figure out who is the new US President and what he can do, the world has entered into a phase of intensive research on Trump.

This paper is an attempt to puzzle out Trump’s foreign policy for the Caucasus and Azerbaijan. In light of the recent economic and regional developments, the outcomes of the Trump Presidency for Azerbaijan and the region are more than important. The economic stagnation in the region, lack of structural reforms, and inborn geopolitical instability in the Caucasus, as well as rising religious extremism at the borders, makes research on this topic pre-eminent.

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